The search for planets in the outer solar system is a tricky affair.
Although we have extremely powerful observatories that can see the fine details
in galaxies millions of light-years away and survey telescopes that can
pinpoint small asteroids as they dash through the inner solar system, the outer
solar system remains one of the most exciting, yet largely unexplored regions
in the local cosmos. Should a modestly-sized planet be orbiting far enough away
from the sun, it could still be too small and too cold to be noticed by
surveys. If it can’t be detected by surveys, more powerful telescopes won’t
know where to look to zoom in on the world — but even then these distant
planets would be little more than dots in an ocean of stars. Space, after all,
is big and planetary discoveries require a combination of skill, precise
instrumentation and luck.
In the case of Planet Nine, its presence hasn’t been directly observed
yet; like the discovery of
Neptune in 1846 it’s the motions of other solar system objects that may be
signalling its gravitational dominance in the region. Now astronomers are
getting even more creative and studying the trajectory of NASA’s
New Horizons mission in the hope of seeing any unaccounted-for drift off its
planned path through the Kuiper belt that may also signal evidence of Planet
Nine’s gravity.
In the meantime, scientists at the
University of Bern, Switzerland, have jumped one step ahead of these
exciting early hints of a new planet and put some limits on how big and how
“warm” this thing could actually be. Their study has been accepted for
publication in the journal Astronomy & Astrophysics.
From Brown and Batygin’s models, Planet Nine should have a highly
elliptical orbit, coming no closer than 200 AU (that’s 200 times the Earth-sun
distance, over 4 times the Pluto-sun distance) and extending to 1,200 AU at its
farthest. In short, this would be an extreme world, well beyond the boundary of
our “classical” solar system and even beyond the most distant solar system
object known to date, the dwarf planet Eris (at nearly 100 AU). Eris was also
discovered by Brown in 2005, a discovery that ultimately led to the
re-classification of Pluto.
Having not obviously popped up in any infrared surveys, Bern astronomers
Christoph Mordasini and Ph.D. student Esther Linder set out to decipher a
few more characteristics about Planet Nineby using known planetary evolution
models they’ve applied to the formation of planets orbitingother stars — worlds known as exoplanets.
This modeling effort could then be used to sift through survey data, perhaps
revealing an object that has gone unnoticed in the night sky.
Brown and Batygin have been able to estimate Planet Nine’s mass, based
on the gravitational influence it seems to exert. It is likely a
significantly-sized planet, around 10 times the mass of Earth, possibly making
it “mini-Uranus”-like world — a place with a solid core and a cold, dense layer
of gas.
Knowing that Planet Nine has yet to be seen by infrared surveys (such as
NASA’s Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer, or WISE, mission), the researchers
already had an upper limit on Planet Nine’s physical size and knowing the its
approximate mass, distance from the sun and applying planetary formation
models, Mordasini and Linder were able to form an idea as to the planet’s
temperature and size.
By their reckoning, Planet Nine should have a radius 3.7 times that of
Earth and an upper atmosphere temperature of -226 degrees Celsius (or 47
Kelvin). They arrived at these numbers by considering Planet Nine’s predicted
orbit around the sun and the age of our solar system; the hypothetical world
would have formed from our sun’s protoplanetary disk that began to condense
into planets some 4.6 billion years ago.
At these staggering distances from the sun, it may not come as a
surprise that Planet Nine’s predicted temperature would be extremely cold, but
it is still warmer than what would be predicted from being heated by sunlight
alone. As planets form, the gravitational energy in their cores can keep their
interiors molten hot for billions of years. This heat, however, is slowly
dissipated and may be observed by highly sensitive infrared telescopes.
Therefore, Planet Nine’s temperature of 47 Kelvin “means that the
planet’s emission is dominated by the cooling of its core, otherwise the
temperature would only be 10 Kelvin,” said Linder in a press release. “Its
intrinsic power is about 1000 times bigger than its absorbed power.” This means
that the reflected sunlight would be minuscule compared to the internal heat
the world is currently generating, making its infrared signal vastly more
powerful than looking for reflected sunlight in optical wavelengths. This may
seem like an obvious conclusion to astronomers when seeking out icy objects far
from the sun, but it’s still a staggering thought that Planet Nine is the
hottest thing in the solar system’s hinterland despite being only 47 degrees
above absolute zero. In
astronomy, “heat” is a very relative term.
ANALYSIS: Does a
Massive Planet Lurk in the Outer Solar System?
Knowing just a few clues about the nature of Planet Nine, it’s
interesting to see this hypothetical world take shape. “With our study,
candidate Planet 9 is now more than a simple point mass, it takes shape having
physical properties,” said Mordasini.
Currently, astronomers are using Brown and Batygin’s observations and
models to track down the possible location of Planet Nine, but spotting the
world is going to be difficult with the infrared data we currently have
available to us.
So what will Planet Nine look like? We’ll probably have to wait until
the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope near Cerro Tololo in Chile is constructed
before we see its faint signal. Only then will we be able to decisively prove
that the world is out there and begin to understand
whether it’s actually a small gaseous planet or something a bit different. In
the mean time, theoretical studies such as these help us not only track down
the location of Planet Nine, they give us a tantalizing look at what Planet
Nine may look like and what it’s made of.
NOTE: As mentioned in the comments below, this
research is only applicable to a hypothetical planet that formed from our sun's
protoplanetary disk, with the same material that formed the rest of the
planets. There's the possibility that Planet Nine could be a captured world
from another star system (a scenario that may explain the high eccentricity of
its predicted orbit). Until we actually observe this planet, whether or not
Planet Nine was born in the solar system remains to be seen, but this research
should help us understand its origins.
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